Friday 9th September

Pre-conference workshops

10.30-12.30     Experimental political science (led by Ray Duch, Oxford; details)

10.00-12.30     Qualitative research methods (organised by PSA Qualitative Research Specialist Group; details)

Reception of delegates (Atrium, Keynes College)



12.30-13.30     Lunch (Keynes Atrium)


13.30-15.00     SESSION 1

(1.1)     Analysing the EU referendum using new data sources

Clifton van der Linden and Harry Carr
Orders of magnitude: Big Data applications in political science

Marcel van Egmond, Rob Johns, Heinz Brandenburg, Maarja Lühiste and Laura Sudulich
#Brexit. Analyzing tweets, surveying tweeters to understand public opinion dynamics during the EU Referendum campaign

Stephen Ward, Rachel Gibson, Liam McLoughlin and Ros Southern
MPs, Twitter and the EU Referendum Campaign

(1.2)     Public attitudes towards government

Caroline McEvoy
Mind the Gap! Assessing the Impact of Public Perceptions of a Democratic Deficit on Citizens’ Political Engagement in European Democracies.

Edward Morgan-Jones and Matthew Loveless
Constitutional Rules and Citizen Evaluations: Do constitutional rules governing early election calling shape perceptions of democratic quality?

Stuart Fox and Sioned Pearce
How deep is the Divide? Generational Trends in Euroscepticism

Fernando Casal Bértoa and Till Weber
Party System Change in Times of Crisis

(1.3)     Voting for fringe and radical parties I: The UK

Eric Kaufmann
The ‘Left Behind’? Reconciling individual and aggregate UK Independence Party voting

Geoff Evans and Jon Mellon
UKIP: Immigration, Europe and the rise of ethno-nationalism

John Meadowcroft and Elizabeth Morrow
Leadership, incentives and the decline of the English Defence League

(1.4)     Party campaigning

David Cutts and Tristan Hotham
Facebook and Big Data: Has it changed party campaigning in Britain forever?

Justin Fisher, David Cutts, Ed Fieldhouse and Bettina Rottweiler
The Evolution of District-Level Campaigning in Britain: the Resilience of Traditional Campaigning?

Caitlin Milazzo and Jesse Hammond
Negative Messaging in 2015 General Election Leaflets

Giordano Neuenschwander and Florian Foos
Mobilizing Party Activism: A Field Experiment with Party Members and Sympathizers


15.00-15.30     Coffee/tea


15.30-17.00     SESSION 2

(2.1)     2015 general election I: findings from the BES

Ed Fieldhouse
The Fragmentation of British Electoral Politics:  A Punctuated Equilibrium Perspective on Political Change

Chris Prosser, Ed Fieldhouse and Jane Green
Reward, blame and guilt by association: How coalition helped the Tories but hurt the Lib Dems

Jane Green and Chris Prosser
Shocks and ripples: The on-going effects of the 2008 financial crisis on the 2015 British general election

Cees Van der Eijk and Hermann Schmitt
Evolving boundaries of electoral change in Britain: How long-term evolution of social and political factors transforms the parameters of electoral competition

Geoff Evans and Jon Mellon
The collapse of constraint:  party identity and voter volatility, 1964-2015

(2.2)     Electoral administration

Alistair Clark and Toby James
Why Volunteer? The motivations of poll workers on election day

Davide Tiberti and Katie Hamilton
Electoral registration in 2016: the new system of Individual Electoral Registration

Katie Hamilton, Emma Noyes and Michael Turner
Is 7 weeks a long time in politics? Comparing public attitudes towards 2016’s electoral events

(2.3)     Participation

Timothy Vercelotti
Is Winning Everything? Activism, Campaigns, and Political Efficacy in the UK

Stuart Fox, Ceryn Evans, Chris Taylor and Gareth Rees
Is it all Relative? Revisiting the Effect of Higher Education on Civic Participation

Heinz Brandenburg, Zac Greene and Neil McGarvey
Explaining change in turnout with constituency level electoral data: the ephemeral effect of deprivation in the Scottish Referendum

(2.4)     Attitudes to the politics of gender

Peter Allen and David Cutts
Blame assignation for women’s numeric under-representation in politics: the influence of individual characteristics and political context

Susan Banducci, Laszlo Horvath, Ekaterina Kolpinskaya, and Samuel Vine
Stereotype threat effects on women’s political engagement

Rosie Campbell and Oliver Heath
Candidate effects and the gender gap

Lisa Keenan
Gender stereotyping and candidate evaluations: evidence from an experimental study of direct and indirect voter bias


17.00-18.30     Plenary: ‘The Future of Opinion Polling’

Professor Patrick Sturgis, University of Southampton
Martin Boon, Director, ICM
Joe Twyman, Head of Social and Political Research, YouGov

Location: Keynes Lecture Theatre 4 (ground floor)


19.00               Drinks reception and dinner (followed by quiz and bar)

Darwin conference suite