We cannot predict the future, and we do not know whether another lockdown is coming. Instead, we do know what we can do to reduce … Read more
Is accelerating in front of a blind bend the right way to deal with uncertainty?
By Martin Michaelis and Mark Wass. The discussion about our approach towards COVID-19 is largely a dispute about how to deal with uncertainty, due to … Read more
COVID-19 projections are not about ‘getting it right’
Estimations about the progression of the pandemic are projections but never accurate predictions. The future remains unpredictable. However, projections provide us with valuable information about … Read more
We need to discuss how we want to live with COVID-19 (and other diseases)
By Martin Michaelis and Mark Wass. At the moment, there is much discussion about whether, when, and how formal regulations should be completely removed. This … Read more
We have not learnt anything – COVID-19 still spreads like wildfire
The arrival of the delta variants was a unique chance to demonstrate that we have learnt to live with COVID-19, but we failed. This shows … Read more
We have to learn to control COVID-19 numbers without formal restrictions
By Martin Michaelis and Mark Wass. The COVID-19 pandemic is unlikely to end soon. Hence, the only chance to live sustainably without formal restrictions is … Read more
Why we should be worried about novel COVID-19 variants of global concern
By Martin Michaelis and Mark Wass. The WHO has classified the COVID-19 variant B.1.617 from India as a “variant of global concern”. Although it is … Read more
COVID-19 vaccine success is based on past research and luck
By Martin Michaelis and Mark Wass. The rapid development of COVID-19 vaccines has been enabled by decades of research, and it could have all gone … Read more
Why COVID-19 and other infectious diseases do not automatically become milder
By Martin Michaelis and Mark Wass. Many argue that the COVID-19 restrictions should be eased more quickly because infectious diseases become milder over time. However, … Read more
We need to prepare for an Ebola pandemic that spreads like the measles
By Martin Michaelis and Mark Wass. If we want to be prepared for future pandemics, we need to be prepared for the worst case scenario. … Read more