Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, the current president of the Royal Statistical Society, will be delivering a talk “Communicating uncertainty without losing trust” at the School Of Mathematics, Statistics & Actuarial Science on\u00a0Thursday 1st of November at 6pm in SIBLT3.<\/p>\n
We are faced with claims of both a reproducibility crisis in scientific publication, and of a \u2018post-truth\u2019 society in which emotional responses trump balanced\u00a0consideration of evidence. This presents a strong challenge to those who value quantitative and scientific evidence: how can we communicate risks and\u00a0unavoidable scientific uncertainty in a transparent and trustworthy way, keeping in mind Onora O\u2019Neill\u2019s requirements that this evidence is accessible,\u00a0understandable, useable and assessable?<\/p>\n
Appropriate communication of established risks has been well-studied, but deeper uncertainty about facts, numbers, or scientific hypotheses needs to be\u00a0communicated without losing trust and credibility. This is an empirically researchable issue, and we are conducting randomised experiments concerning the impact\u00a0on audiences of alternative verbal, numerical and graphical means of communicating uncertainty.<\/p>\n
Available evidence may often not permit a quantitative assessment of uncertainty, and I will also examine scales being used by \u2018What Works\u2019 centres and other\u00a0agencies to summarise degrees of \u2018confidence\u2019 in conclusions, in terms of the quality of the research underlying the whole assessment.<\/p>\n
This talk is open to all in the university and we cannot recommend Professor Spiegelhalter enough.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, the current president of the Royal Statistical Society, will be delivering a talk “Communicating uncertainty without losing trust” at the School … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40838,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/561"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/40838"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=561"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/561\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":562,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/561\/revisions\/562"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/studentsuccess-news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}