Prof Matthew Goodwin talks to UnHerd – “Of course Trump can win”

It is entirely plausible – likely even – that Donald Trump will win a second term in the White House. Readers who are following the election through the polls will likely disagree. According to the latest snapshots the race is still Joe Biden’s to lose. The Democratic challenger is enjoying average leads of more than six points in the national polls and four points across the all-important battleground states. Today, Trump leads in just three crunch states: Georgia, Iowa and Texas. If the polls are correct, then the path that Trump took to victory four years ago is simply no longer available.

Matthew Goodwin writes for Unherd on the issues of relying solely on polling data to predict the outcome of the US election.