{"id":306,"date":"2018-12-02T13:58:01","date_gmt":"2018-12-02T13:58:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/?p=306"},"modified":"2018-12-04T11:04:31","modified_gmt":"2018-12-04T11:04:31","slug":"07-december-mariza-spyropoulou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/2018\/12\/02\/07-december-mariza-spyropoulou\/","title":{"rendered":"07 December ~ Mariza Spyropoulou (Stats)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Title:\u00a0Bayesian Computation and Inference using Stan with application in Football<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Abstract:\u00a0<span style=\"font-family: 'Calibri',sans-serif;color: black\">In this talk, we\u00a0show how Bayesian Statistics can be applied to football modelling.\u00a0In this respect, we\u00a0attempt to model the number of goals scored and conceded by two football teams using two Bayesian models. The first model\u00a0we use is a simple Bayesian interpretation of the away and home team for each match. The second model\u00a0we use\u00a0is an implementation of hierarchical models.\u00a0We use\u00a0hierarchical model as we want to express the correlation between the number of goals for the home team and the number of goals for the away team. We use data from the English Premier League for the season 2017\/18 which\u00a0provide us with the final result of each match of the season and help us to describe the characteristics of each team.\u00a0\u00a0We then\u00a0choose different variables and see how well they fit our model.\u00a0Finally, we\u00a0make predictions\u00a0from the simple Bayesian and the hierarchical model and compare\u00a0the two models.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Title:\u00a0Bayesian Computation and Inference using Stan with application in Football &nbsp; Abstract:\u00a0In this talk, we\u00a0show how Bayesian Statistics can be applied to football modelling.\u00a0In this &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/2018\/12\/02\/07-december-mariza-spyropoulou\/\">Read&nbsp;more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57430,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[170526],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57430"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=306"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":312,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/306\/revisions\/312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=306"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=306"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/pgrseminars\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=306"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}