{"id":1328,"date":"2018-05-03T19:12:45","date_gmt":"2018-05-03T18:12:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/?p=1328"},"modified":"2020-03-17T12:13:14","modified_gmt":"2020-03-17T12:13:14","slug":"the-fall-in-german-unemployment-a-flow-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/2018\/05\/03\/the-fall-in-german-unemployment-a-flow-analysis\/","title":{"rendered":"The Fall in German Unemployment: A Flow Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>by Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, University of Essex, CEPR, CESifo and IZA; Andrey Launov, University of Kent, CESifo and IZA; and Jean-Marc Robin, Sciences Po and UCL. Discussion paper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/research\/papers\/2018\/1805.html\">KDPE 1805<\/a>, March 2018.<\/p>\n<p>Non-technical summary:<\/p>\n<p>In this paper we investigate the recent fall in unemployment, and the rise in part-time work, labour market participation, inequality and welfare in Germany. Unemployment fell because the Hartz IV reform induced a large fraction of the long-term unemployed to deregister as jobseekers and appear as non-participants. Yet, labour force participation increased because many unregistered-unemployed workers ended up accepting low-paid part-time work that was offered in quantity in absence of a universal minimum wage. A large part of the rise in part-time work was also due to the tax benefits Hartz II introduced to take up a mini-job as secondary employment. This has provided an easy way to top-up labour income staggering under the pressure of wage moderation. The rise in part-time work led to an increase in inequality at the lower end of income distribution. Overall we find that Germany increased welfare as unemployment fell.<\/p>\n<p>You can download the complete paper <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/research\/papers\/2018\/1805.html\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Carlos Carrillo-Tudela, University of Essex, CEPR, CESifo and IZA; Andrey Launov, University of Kent, CESifo and IZA; and Jean-Marc Robin, Sciences Po and UCL. &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/2018\/05\/03\/the-fall-in-german-unemployment-a-flow-analysis\/\">Read&nbsp;more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":37654,"featured_media":116,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[70],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1328"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/37654"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1328"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1328\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1329,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1328\/revisions\/1329"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/116"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1328"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1328"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.kent.ac.uk\/economics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1328"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}